Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000597 0.000687 0.000783 0.000893 0.001014 0.001143 0.001292
2025-06-01 0.000442 0.000562 0.000701 0.000870 0.001069 0.001294 0.001567
2025-06-08 0.000353 0.000483 0.000640 0.000841 0.001087 0.001376 0.001739
2025-06-15 0.000298 0.000436 0.000609 0.000839 0.001131 0.001485 0.001941
2025-06-22 0.000257 0.000398 0.000583 0.000837 0.001171 0.001585 0.002130
2025-06-29 0.000220 0.000361 0.000554 0.000827 0.001195 0.001664 0.002293
2025-07-06 0.000188 0.000326 0.000523 0.000811 0.001209 0.001727 0.002436
2025-07-13 0.000172 0.000313 0.000520 0.000831 0.001270 0.001851 0.002658
2025-07-20 0.000156 0.000297 0.000512 0.000843 0.001320 0.001962 0.002865
2025-07-27 0.000136 0.000275 0.000491 0.000834 0.001338 0.002028 0.003014
2025-08-03 0.000118 0.000251 0.000467 0.000818 0.001345 0.002078 0.003140
2025-08-10 0.000108 0.000240 0.000461 0.000828 0.001389 0.002179 0.003339
2025-08-17 0.000096 0.000226 0.000450 0.000830 0.001422 0.002268 0.003523
2025-08-24 0.000081 0.000203 0.000421 0.000803 0.001409 0.002290 0.003615
2025-08-31 0.000069 0.000183 0.000395 0.000777 0.001396 0.002311 0.003704
2025-09-07 0.000061 0.000172 0.000384 0.000775 0.001420 0.002385 0.003869
2025-09-14 0.000054 0.000161 0.000374 0.000773 0.001444 0.002460 0.004037
2025-09-21 0.000048 0.000150 0.000360 0.000764 0.001454 0.002513 0.004174
2025-09-28 0.000041 0.000137 0.000343 0.000749 0.001454 0.002550 0.004288
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000135 0.000345 0.000767 0.001509 0.002674 0.004532
2025-10-12 0.000035 0.000130 0.000344 0.000779 0.001554 0.002782 0.004754
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000121 0.000332 0.000770 0.001564 0.002834 0.004893
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000112 0.000317 0.000755 0.001561 0.002867 0.005003